See Saw of Financial Leverage

© John A. Tyler
January 15, 2008

Many investors and security speculators have recently felt the effect of financial leverage as expressed in the current decline in the securities markets.

Here is an example:

You want to make an investment of $100,000 and expect that your investment will increase by $20,000 in a year.
Your rate of return is 20 percent.
However, an investment consultant shows you that you can earn more by borrowing to make an investment of $200,000 in the same security.

You supply $100,000 and borrow $100,000 for a total investment of $200,000. Under the Federal Reserve Bank rules, if you borrow to buy stocks you cannot "initially" borrow more than 50% of the total investment. This is called the "initial margin".

If the $200,000 increases 20%, you have a gain of $40,000. The interest rate on your borrowing is at 5 per cent, so your annual interest costs are $5,000 a year, and your investment gain is $35,000, which is 1.75 times the unleveraged investment gain shown above.

On an ongoing basis, the lender requires that the value of your total investment must equal 133% of the borrowed funds, that is if you have borrowed $200,000, the value of the investment must be $266,667. This is called the "maintenance margin".

In a declining securities market the market value of your investment drops from $300,000 to $250,000, or 20 percent. And the amount of your loan is still $200,000. However the lending limit formula says that your loan amount now cannot exceed $187,500. You will have to pay off $12,500 of the outstanding loan.

If you cannot come up with the additional $12,500 the lender can sell the security and payoff the loan. So the security is sold for $250,000, the lender is paid off $200,000 and you have only $50,000 left.

You have been forced into a loss of $50,000, instead of a net gain of $40,000, a $90,000 shift.

This is a dramatic example which shows both the potential positive and negative effects of borrowing to increase your investment results.


 


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